There are several popular artificial intelligence (AI) stocks on the market that I believe are currently poor investments. One of them is Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR), which has been one of the best-performing stocks over the past few years. The others are C3.ai (NYSE: AI) and BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI).
I have solid reasons why investors should steer clear of this trio, as investing your money elsewhere can save you from a massive future loss.
Palantir’s stock has been on an unbelievable run. It’s up 2,570% since 2023, 900% since 2024, and 126% this year. With that kind of growth, investors may think I’m advocating for avoiding it because it’s run out of steam, but that’s not the case at all.
Palantir is performing exceptionally well, and its revenue growth is accelerating rapidly. In Q2, companywide revenue rose 48% compared to 39% growth in Q1. I believe Palantir will continue to grow rapidly and remain among the best-performing companies in the AI arms race.
If I think it will be a top-performing company, why am I not bullish on the stock? It all comes down to valuation.
Even though Palantir’s stock has increased by 2,570% since 2023, its revenue has risen by only 80%. That’s a huge mismatch, indicating that the stock has achieved most of its gains through an increase in its valuation. Looking at its valuation supports this analysis, as it trades for a jaw-dropping 267 times forward earnings and 126 times sales.
Those are valuation levels that few companies ever achieve and no company sustains. Palantir will either need to grow into those valuations (resulting in a flat stock price) or fall dramatically to trade at a more reasonable level.
Take Nvidia, for example. Despite multiple quarters in a row where it rippled its revenue year over year, it never traded for more than 50 times sales or forward earnings. Palantir is growing much slower than that, yet it has attained a valuation far higher than Nvidia ever did.
Regardless of what happens, I’d expect Palantir’s stock to be flat over the next few years, even if the company maintains a strong growth rate. There are years of growth already baked into Palantir’s stock, and investors would be wise to take some of those gains and invest in other, more reasonably valued companies.
We’re in the golden age of AI, and any company associated with the trend should be doing well. However, that’s not the case with these two.
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